J Med Life Sci > Volume 16(3); 2019 > Article
Journal of Medicine and Life Science 2019;16(3):90-95.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.22730/jmls.2019.16.3.90    Published online January 16, 2020.
2002-2016년도 제주도 소아의 성홍열 발생의 시계열분석
신인혜, 배종면
Time Series Analysis for Incidence of Scarlet Fever in Children in Jeju Province, Korea, 2002-2016
In-Hye Shin, Jong-Myon Bae
제주도 감염병관리 지원단
Correspondence:  Jong-Myon Bae, Email: jmbae@jejunu.ac.kr
Abstract
Purpose
The Korea Centers for Diseases Control and Prevention interpreted that recent outbreaks of scarlet fever in Korea since 2011 was resulted from the expansion of scarlet fever notification criteria. To suggest a relevant hypothesis regarding this emerging outbreak, a time series analysis (TSA) of scarlet fever incidence between 2002 and 2016 was conducted.
Methods
The raw data was the nationwide insurance claims database administered by the Korean National Health Insurance Service. The inclusion criteria were children aged ≤14 years residing in Jeju Province, Korea who received any form of healthcare for scarlet fever from 2002 to 2016.
Results
There were seasonal variations with showing peak season as winter and spring, and three intervals were identified between 2002 and 2016.
Conclusions
The results from TSA suggested that the recent outbreak of scarlet fever among children in Jeju Province might be a phenomenon from unknown birth-related environmental factors changed after 2010.
Key Words: protein, Exotoxins, Scarlet, fever
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